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NSW Jobs Insights

NSW Jobs Insights

Steps to find your data

  1. Select your options for 1. Future Jobs & Drivers 2. Region 3. Sector

    Options must be selected for all buttons to show your data.

  2. Scroll in or out on the map to find your location, then hover over or click your cursor on a region/sector or project for more details.

  3. Click on Clear to select new options for 1, 2 and 3.



 

Region Rank Industry 2016 2036 Change Annual % Planning Region Contribution to % Change to Planning Region
Region Area km2 2016 2036 Change Annual %

Projections

The data is current as at December 2021

Definitions

Sector

Annual %

Compound average annual % change over the 20 years to 2036

Planning Region

Planning Regions are defined by the NSW Government using groups of Councils to develop strategic land use plans called Regional Plans. For more information, please click https://www.planning.nsw.gov.au/Plans-for-your-area/Regional-Plans

Contribution to % Change to Planning Region

The selected region’s contribution to the employment change for an industry-sector in the Planning Region in percentage terms. For example, the contribution will equal 10% if growth in Planning Region employment for an industry-sector in the 20 years to 2036 is equal to 100 and growth in the selected area’s employment for an industry-sector is 10 over the corresponding period (10/100=10%).


Show chart

 

2019 2020 2021
Region Units Developed Undeveloped Total Developed Undeveloped Total Developed Undeveloped Total

Totals



Employment

Land Take-up (hectares)

Developed Area by Zoning (hectares)

Undeveloped Land by Zoning (hectares)

Undeveloped employment land stocks (hectares)

Serviced

Undeveloped employment land stocks (hectares)

Unserviced

Find out more

Employment - Forecasts

Employment forecasts are the 2022 release of Victoria University Employment Forecasts (VUEF22). Forecast horizon is from 2019-20 to 2027-28 and covers 214 industries and 358 occupations. Only Statistical Area Level 4 regions are available.

The VUEF is a family of models centred on a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the Australian economy. The VUEF captures dynamic adjustment to a shock and the flow onto employment, industry, occupations, and educational attainment.

VUEF modelling draws on a comprehensive range of inputs, including macroeconomic and demographic data, labour market statistics, education statistics, commonwealth and state economic and demographic forecasts, and expert industry forecasts.

Employment - Projections

The NSW Common Planning Assumptions (CPA) employment projections provide information about where, when and how many persons will be employed in different industries across the state.

The CPA employment projections are used across Government to inform infrastructure planning and service delivery to support economic development. The projections are regularly updated, every 2 to 3 years.

The 2019 release of CPA employment projections was the first time the NSW Government produced employment projections from large regions down to the small area level called travel zones for the whole of NSW.

The 2019 release is also the latest available set of common planning assumptions for employment and is used to populate the NSW Jobs Insights tool. The NSW Jobs Insights tool will be updated with the next release of the NSW CPA employment projections this year. We expect this update will occur in August 2022.

How were the projections developed?

The employment projections are developed using two models to produce an integrated set of workforce and employment projections. The two models are:

  1. The Victoria University whole-of-economy model and
  2. The Travel Zone industry employment projection models.

The Victoria University whole-of-economy model is used to produce the regional employment projections consistent with NSW Common Planning Assumptions for regional population projections. The whole-of-economy model was developed by the Centre of Policy Studies at Victoria University.

  • The whole-of-economy model produces industry employment projections for Metropolitan Sydney and 14 regions (at the ABS Statistical Area 4 level) across regional NSW.
  • The 19-industry breakdown is based on the ABS 1-digit ANZSIC system.
  • Modelling assumptions are formulated in consultation with The Treasury, Department of Planning, and Environment, Department of Transport and Department of Premier and Cabinet.

The Travel Zone industry employment projection models used to produce travel zone employment projections. Travel zones are small areas; the size of city blocks in CBD areas to the size of large regions in remote areas.

The Travel Zone industry employment projection models were developed by Transport Performance and Analytics within the NSW Department of Transport in collaboration with SGS Planning and Economics and Department of Planning and Environment.

The Travel Zone Projections for employment are developed to be consistent with the regional employment projections, employment land supply and future employment developments.

Travel Zone Projections and the ABS statistical geography system

The Travel Zone spatial system is consistent with the ABS statistical geography system. The travel zone employment projections are provided in the mapping tool for larger areas in the ABS statistical geography system. These areas are called Statistical Area 2 (SA2), Statistical Area 3 (SA3) and Statistical Area 4 (SA4).

Travel Zone Projections and other boundary systems

The Travel Zone Projections are converted into Local Government Area (LGA) Projections using the correspondence method. The correspondence method selects travel zones that best fit a Local Government Area by minimising differences between the two geography systems. These LGA projections are provided at larger areas called Planning Regions and Functional Economic Regions. Planning Regions and Functional Economic Regions are consistent with LGA boundaries.

The Travel Zone Projections are also applied to key precincts and centres across NSW, also using the correspondence method.

Caveats

When modelling a potential future land use distribution, it should be understood there is no one single future or a single way to interpret the available data.

The NSW Whole-of-Government employment projections seek to represent the most likely future trends for NSW, based on current data, trends and an understanding of policy/structural changes.

Employment - Density

Employment density is the number of persons employed in a region divided by the region’s area. Employment density is a measure of intensity of land use.

Area is measured in square kilometres in the mapping tool. There are 100 hectares or 1 million square metres in 1 square kilometre.

Caveats

The NSW Whole-of-Government employment projections of employment density seek to represent the most likely future trends for NSW, based on current data, trends and an understanding of policy/structural changes.

When modelling a potential future land use distribution, it should be understood there is no one single future or a single way to interpret the available data.

Industrial Land Supply (ELDM) - Developed

Industrial lands are defined as lands zoned for industrial or similar purposes in planning instruments. The industrial land precincts are equivalent areas defined by Department of Planning and Environment’s Employment Lands Development Monitor (ELDM). The ELDM data is produced once a year and updated in the NSW Jobs Insights tool on an annual basis. For more information about the ELDM.

Industrial lands are determined to be ‘developed’ or occupied when development (construction/works) has commenced on a site and the site is therefore no longer available for development.

Industrial lands are vital to the functioning of our urban areas, providing space for:

  • Essential services such as waste and water management, repair trades and construction services;
  • Warehousing, logistics and distribution centres; and
  • Areas for businesses that design, manufacture and produce goods and services

Take-up is measured as the quantity in hectares of zoned Employment Lands that has changed from ‘undeveloped’ (vacant) to ‘developed’ (occupied) over a 12-month period (e.g. between January 2019 and January 2020) based on Sydney Water data and confirmed by aerial photography and related information.

Industrial Land Supply (ELDM)- Undeveloped

Industrial lands are defined as lands zoned for industrial or similar purposes in planning instruments. The industrial land areas are equivalent to Department of Planning, Industry and Environment’s Employment Lands Development Monitor (ELDM). The ELDM data is produced once a year and updated in the mapping tool on an annual basis.

Undeveloped land supply is currently zoned industrial land that were not occupied by an employment land use at the time of data collection. There are essentially two classes of undeveloped industrial lands.

  1. Undeveloped and Serviced industrial lands are currently zoned and serviced but not occupied by an employment land use at the time of data collection. The land may therefore be vacant or occupied by another use.
  2. Undeveloped and Not Serviced industrial lands are currently zoned but sewerage or potable water service is not yet available for connection, based on Sydney Water data.

Major Development Projects

Major development projects are significant developments that may contribute to new jobs in the future, either in the form of construction jobs or as operational jobs when projects are completed.

These major projects are sourced from the Department of Planning and Environment’s Major Projects Database. The database details projects such as mines, industrial sites, major developments and infrastructure that the Department has assessed to ensure planning regulations are met and the need for new jobs is balanced with the needs of the community and environment. The Major Development Projects Database in the NSW Jobs Insights tool includes all proposals that have been recently been determined (accepted not rejected) in 2020 and 2021, or remain under evaluation (yet-to-be determined). A caveat: some projects may have been withdrawn since their assessment.

At each six-month update, new projects will enter the Major Projects Database when the Department receives new applications from proponents. Projects will leave the Major Projects Database when the Department approves or refuses an application, except for the most recent two years.

Major development projects play an important role in developing the travel zone employment projections for NSW. Information on these future project developments is used in conjunction with the regional employment projections (supplied by Victoria University) to produce the travel zone employment projections.

A list of known major projects is compiled at the time of developing the travel zone employment projections using Cordell Connect as well as the Department’s Major Projects Database. This project information is considered along with data on industrial land supply from the Employment Lands Development Monitor (ELDM), State Signficant Precincts and Growth Areas.

SYSTEM REQUIREMENTS

The NSW Jobs Insights tool is intended for use with:

  • A desktop or laptop computer with internet access
  • Any modern browser (Chrome, Firefox, Safari, Edge, Opera etc)

It has been tested on tablet and the tool works in landscape mode. On mobile phones the tool is difficult to navigate, and some functionality is lost.

ACCESSIBILITY

NSW Department of Planning and Environment wants to make its information and services available to as many people as possible, including those using assistive technology.

The highly visual nature of the Projections Explorer makes it unsuitable to conforming with WCAG 2.0 Level AA. The Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG) is the mechanism used by standard web pages to achieve accessibility.

DATA SOURCES

NSW Jobs Insights extracts data the following three sources:

Data source Provided by Source
Travel zone projections Transport for NSW https://opendata.transport.nsw.gov.au/

The minor differences in employment numbers for aggregations of travel zones in NSW Jobs Insights compared with those from the source are due to rounding

Employment lands supply DPE https://www.planning.nsw.gov.au/Research-and-Demography/Employment-Lands-Development-Monitor
Major development projects DPE https://www.planningportal.nsw.gov.au/major-projects

Please go to the Urban Development Program Dashboard for spatial data on population and housing.

CONTACT

If you have any issues, please share your feedback and we’ll get back to you when we can.

If you have any accessibility-related issues, email us at [email protected] and we’ll help you get the information you need.

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