Sydney Housing Supply Forecast Dataset

This dataset is the best available NSW government information on where, when and how many new homes are likely to be built in Greater Sydney across three scenarios  in the next five years.

Access Sydney housing supply forecast data

This forecast data covers Greater Sydney, Greater Sydney districts, Local Government Areas and suburbs. The report is forecast annually for 20 years, from 2020 to 2040.

Key terms

Forecast: an estimate of the number of new houses or dwellings that are likely to be built in the future.

Greater Sydney: the Sydney Statistical Division (this excludes the Central Coast and Wollongong local government areas).

Greater Sydney Districts: five key planning areas of Greater Sydney, defined by the Greater Sydney Commission.

Zoning and planning controls: legislative framework for regulating land use and development, including the location, density, height and type of new residential development.

Usage Notes:

• The forecast is an estimate of the number of new dwellings that could be built under current zoning and planning controls, current programs and initiatives and particular market conditions. It reflects current trends in residential construction and approval activity.
• The central base case scenario represents the most likely outcome based on market conditions and demand factors at the time of preparing the forecast in October 2020. The high growth and low growth scenarios explore the impacts of varying market conditions. See the detailed description of the methodology for the scenarios.
• The forecast is not an indicator of housing demand.
• The 2020 forecast differs from previous forecasts because it was released as three scenarios and down to a suburb level.
• A key assumption for the 2020 forecast is that although population growth may slow in the short term, underlying demand for and market take-up of housing in Greater Sydney will continue.
• The Sydney housing supply forecast applies generally to private dwellings that are detached houses, medium-density development (townhouses, terraces and villas) and apartments. It does not explicitly forecast, or include in the forecast, the following dwelling types: secondary dwellings, boarding houses, student accommodation, group homes, seniors living developments (including retirement villages, hostels and aged care facilities), and manufactured housing estates.

Source: NSW Department of Planning and Environment
Last updated: This information was last updated in April 2021.